Updates

US jobless rate falls to lowest level since July The US economy is mostly driven by consumer spending. The US job market expanded last month faster than anticipated, helped in part by the return to work of striking auto and entertainment industry workers. November saw 199,000 new employment added by employers, according to the Labour Department. As a result, the unemployment rate dropped to 3.7%, the lowest since July. The US central bank is trying to calm the economy to lower inflation, or the rate at which prices grow, therefore the monthly report is being eagerly monitored. In an effort to curb price increases, the Federal Reserve has boosted interest rates to their highest point in over 20 years. However, investors are increasingly placing bets that rates have peaked for the time being and may even begin to decline next year. Although the most recent statistics are encouraging for job searchers, they can dash those dreams. In addition to higher-than-expected employment growth, the study revealed a 0.4% increase in average hourly income from October. The average hourly wage has increased by 4% since November 2022, which many claimed was too quickly for the Fed to proclaim its mission accomplished. Over the past year, the US economy has outperformed forecasts despite stubbornly pessimistic economic sentiment. It grew at a 5.2% annual pace in the most recent quarter, which is significantly faster than the pre-pandemic norm. The reason economists are perplexed by Americans’ ‘YOLO’ spending bingeHow bosses prevailed in the 2023 struggle for power The major engine of the US economy, consumer spending, has been sustained by a robust employment market, despite recent warnings from certain shops about declining sales. Hiring at manufacturing, health care, and government agencies drove last month’s job growth. Even as we approach the holiday season, payrolls at transportation, warehousing, and retail companies decreased. The decline, according to Pantheon Macroeconomics’ Ian Shepherdson, may indicate that “retailers are already nervous,” but it may simply be the result of anomalies in the Labour Department’s attempts to account for seasonal variations. According to the Labour Department, the US has added jobs an average of 240,000 every month over the previous 12 months. According to Richard Carter, head of fixed interest research at Quilter Cheviot, “job growth is holding up remarkably well in the face of a tough economic picture and slowing growth globally, even though it is falling compared to last year.” Many economists cautioned that if the Fed began hiking interest rates and rising borrowing costs caused businesses and households to drastically reduce their spending, it might spark an economic recession. There has been a growing retreat from that prediction. Mr. Carter stated: “The full effects of the rate hikes have not yet been felt, so the picture could deteriorate from here, but for now the economic picture is looking strong in the US and that will leave the Fed heading into next year feeling just fine about the job it has done to date.”

Leave a Comment / Updates / December 20, 2023

The US job market expanded last month faster than anticipated, helped in part by the return to work of striking auto and entertainment industry workers. November saw 199,000 new employment added by employers, according to the Labour Department. As a result, the unemployment rate dropped to 3.7%, the lowest since July. The US central bank

US jobless rate falls to lowest level since July The US economy is mostly driven by consumer spending. The US job market expanded last month faster than anticipated, helped in part by the return to work of striking auto and entertainment industry workers. November saw 199,000 new employment added by employers, according to the Labour Department. As a result, the unemployment rate dropped to 3.7%, the lowest since July. The US central bank is trying to calm the economy to lower inflation, or the rate at which prices grow, therefore the monthly report is being eagerly monitored. In an effort to curb price increases, the Federal Reserve has boosted interest rates to their highest point in over 20 years. However, investors are increasingly placing bets that rates have peaked for the time being and may even begin to decline next year. Although the most recent statistics are encouraging for job searchers, they can dash those dreams. In addition to higher-than-expected employment growth, the study revealed a 0.4% increase in average hourly income from October. The average hourly wage has increased by 4% since November 2022, which many claimed was too quickly for the Fed to proclaim its mission accomplished. Over the past year, the US economy has outperformed forecasts despite stubbornly pessimistic economic sentiment. It grew at a 5.2% annual pace in the most recent quarter, which is significantly faster than the pre-pandemic norm. The reason economists are perplexed by Americans’ ‘YOLO’ spending bingeHow bosses prevailed in the 2023 struggle for power The major engine of the US economy, consumer spending, has been sustained by a robust employment market, despite recent warnings from certain shops about declining sales. Hiring at manufacturing, health care, and government agencies drove last month’s job growth. Even as we approach the holiday season, payrolls at transportation, warehousing, and retail companies decreased. The decline, according to Pantheon Macroeconomics’ Ian Shepherdson, may indicate that “retailers are already nervous,” but it may simply be the result of anomalies in the Labour Department’s attempts to account for seasonal variations. According to the Labour Department, the US has added jobs an average of 240,000 every month over the previous 12 months. According to Richard Carter, head of fixed interest research at Quilter Cheviot, “job growth is holding up remarkably well in the face of a tough economic picture and slowing growth globally, even though it is falling compared to last year.” Many economists cautioned that if the Fed began hiking interest rates and rising borrowing costs caused businesses and households to drastically reduce their spending, it might spark an economic recession. There has been a growing retreat from that prediction. Mr. Carter stated: “The full effects of the rate hikes have not yet been felt, so the picture could deteriorate from here, but for now the economic picture is looking strong in the US and that will leave the Fed heading into next year feeling just fine about the job it has done to date.” Read More »